SPATIOTEMPORAL PATTERN AND DETERMINANTS OF CHILDHOOD ROAD TRAFFIC MORBIDITY AND MORTALITY IN NIGERIA: 2013- 2017
- Yingigba Chioma Akinyemi
- J.M. Olumoyegun
- ( paper pages. 370 - 389 )
Abstract
This study examined the spatiotemporal pattern of road traffic crash morbidity and mortality in Nigeria among children below 18 years for the period 2013 to 2017. Data on road crashes, number of registered motor vehicles and motorcycles were obtained from the Federal Road Safety Corps’ annual reports. Injury and mortality rates were standardized by the population of children and number of registered motor vehicles and motorcycles, to enable comparison between states. Global and localspatial autocorrelation of population and registered motor vehicles-based morbidity and mortality rates were analysed. Global Poisson and geographically weighted Poisson regression models were used to identify the determinants of morbidity and mortality for 2013. Morbidity and mortality decreased by 22 per cent and 26 per cent respectively. High morbidity and mortality were recorded in the North Central and North Western zones. Population- based injury and fatality rates clustered nationally with significance of p<0.05. Locally, injury and fatality rate ‘hot spots’ clustered in five North Central states. Determinants of mortality and morbidity are population below 18 years and number of registered motorcycles. Road improvement, traffic calming and management measures, and enforcement of the use of seat restraints, seat belts and helmets by children particularly in high-risk areas are necessary and therefore recommended.
Citation
Yingigba Chioma Akinyemi, J.M. Olumoyegun.
2020.
"SPATIOTEMPORAL PATTERN AND DETERMINANTS OF CHILDHOOD ROAD TRAFFIC MORBIDITY AND MORTALITY IN NIGERIA: 2013- 2017"
The Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies,
62 (3): 370 - 389.
